Bowdoin Hockey 2026-27: Freshman Class Statistical Analysis

2026-09-21 · Jim Jacobs

A quantitative, source-cited comparison of Bowdoin men's hockey's incoming 2026-27 freshmen (Jeremy Jacobs, Nick Jarmain, Drew Berres, Anthony Alessi) against the returning roster, based on pre-college junior/prep production, league strength, age, and historical Bowdoin translation rates. This is a statistical profile, not a scouting report -- ranges reflect real sample-size limits, not false precision.

1. Executive Summary

1. Both incoming NAHL forwards (Jeremy Jacobs, Nick Jarmain) posted final-junior-season production that ranks 1st-2nd among all 16 forwards on Bowdoin's returning + incoming roster, ahead of even returning CCHL scoring leader Jayson Alegria -- driven by NAHL's status as the #2 U.S. junior league (Strength Index 80/100) and both players' strong 2025-26 point totals (61 and 63 points).

2. Jacobs's production nearly doubled year-over-year in the NAHL (39 points at 0.67 PPG in 2024-25 -> 61 points at 1.03 PPG in 2025-26, +54.5%), moving him from 4th to 2nd on the Odessa Jackalopes and into roughly the NAHL's top 30 scorers league-wide out of 700+ tracked skaters.

3. Jarmain's jump was even larger in raw terms (20 points/0.35 PPG in 2024-25 -> 63 points/1.07 PPG in 2025-26, +206%), paired with the Johnstown Tomahawks captaincy -- this is a statistical outlier even within an already-select group, and is flagged, not smoothed over, in Section 9.

4. Drew Berres projects as Bowdoin's single strongest incoming defenseman-class résumé, ranking 1st of 7 defensemen (returning + incoming) on the Defenseman Freshman Impact Score, on the strength of a 12-to-30-point breakout season (2024-25 -> 2025-26) and back-to-back Springfield Jr. Blues captaincies.

5. Anthony Alessi's OJHL save percentage (.923-.926 across two full seasons) is the most statistically consistent goaltending résumé among Bowdoin's four goalie options (current + incoming), and he is a full 2 years younger than the typical final-junior-season age -- but OJHL (Strength Index 68) is not among the two strongest leagues represented, and NESCAC goalie playing time is inherently hard to project.

6. The single biggest evidence gap in this analysis is the Bowdoin-specific junior-to-freshman translation ratio: only NAHL (n=3, ratio range 0.35-1.27) and NCDC (n=3, range 0.44-0.79) clear even a minimal sample threshold. Every projection below uses a shrinkage-blended ratio to avoid overstating what an n=3 sample can support, and the resulting ranges are wide by necessity.

7. Median projections place Jacobs and Jarmain 1st-2nd in projected 2026-27 Bowdoin forward scoring, but the full low-to-high range spans 2nd to 10th -- the model's own uncertainty, not a hedge, and it should be read as such.

8. Nine returning players cannot return for 2026-27: six forwards/defensemen and two goalies have completed four Bowdoin seasons on normal Fr-So-Jr-Sr progressions (Aidan Lyons, Jake Sullivan, Colin Wojciechowski, A.J. DiChiara, James Cerepak, P.J. Neal, Justin Wright, Gabe Shipper); one player (Michael Dinges) has an uncertain 5th-year status that could not be verified and is flagged separately.

9. Age is a real but secondary factor here: all three incoming skaters committed at the typical age for their league (19-20 for NAHL), so age adjustments do not meaningfully separate them from the returning cohort -- Anthony Alessi is the one clear exception, committing nearly two years younger than a typical final-junior-season OJHL goalie.

10. No authoritative, publicly published junior-league equivalency research exists -- the League Strength Index in Section 3 is triangulated from NCAA commitment-count data and crowd/expert tier rankings, not a single definitive source, and is explicitly confidence-rated per league.

2. Returning Bowdoin Roster & Junior Histories

Eligibility was determined by counting each player's actual Bowdoin game-log seasons on Elite Prospects, cross-checked against Bowdoin's official roster/bio pages -- not inferred from class-year labels alone, since redshirts and gap years can decouple the two. NCAA's new "5-for-5" eligibility rule is Division I-only and does not apply here.

Excluded -- 4 Bowdoin seasons already completed, cannot return for 2026-27: Aidan Lyons (D), Jake Sullivan (D), Colin Wojciechowski (D), A.J. DiChiara (G), James Cerepak (F), P.J. Neal (F), Justin Wright (F), Gabe Shipper (F) -- all show a normal 2022-23-through-2025-26 four-season progression with "Senior" class standing and no redshirt indication.

Uncertain -- flagged, not assumed: Michael Dinges (F) shows only 3 seasons of Bowdoin game action (23-24, 24-25, 25-26) despite "Senior" class standing for 25-26, implying a redshirted or no-play 22-23 season. He may have a 5th year of eligibility available, but this could not be confirmed and is excluded from the quantitative rankings below pending direct confirmation from Bowdoin athletics.

2.1 Returning roster & eligibility

Sources: Elite Prospects player pages, Bowdoin Athletics roster.

2.2 Final pre-Bowdoin junior/prep season (returning players)

All GP/G/A/PTS regular season only; playoffs are excluded from these lines. Where a player's final junior season split across two teams/leagues, both are cited individually in the underlying research and the combined line is shown here.

Sources: Elite Prospects, QuantHockey, AJHL.

3. League Strength & Bowdoin Translation Rates

No single authoritative numeric "league equivalency" study exists publicly for junior hockey. The League Strength Index below triangulates three evidence types: NCAA D1/D3 commitment counts (league or USA-Hockey-published), a expert tier ranking (The Junior Hockey News, 2024), and a crowd-sourced tier ranking (HFBoards, flagged low-confidence on its own). USHL is fixed at 100 as the anchor (it is the only USA Hockey Tier I league and the dominant NCAA D1 pipeline).

3.1 League Strength Index

Confidence on the overall hierarchy: Medium for USHL/BCHL/NAHL/EHL's relative positions (multiple, partially-independent sources agree); Low for the fine-grained ordering of NCDC vs. AJHL vs. SJHL vs. OJHL vs. CCHL against each other (thin, non-overlapping evidence -- no single source ranks all of them head-to-head).

3.2 Bowdoin Translation Ratio -- the math, shown

Definition: Translation Ratio = Bowdoin Freshman PPG ÷ Final Junior-Season PPG, computed from 21 Bowdoin recruits (2018-19 through 2025-26 freshman classes) with usable full-season data on both sides. USHL and pure BCHL are absent from Bowdoin's recruiting history entirely across all seasons examined -- consistent with Section 3.1's finding that USHL/BCHL players trend overwhelmingly toward D1, not D3.

Forwards overall (n=8 clean pairs): mean ratio 0.69, median 0.66. Defensemen overall (n=4 clean pairs): mean ratio 0.76, median 0.69 -- but defensemen's ratios are far more volatile in raw terms because junior point totals are small (a 1-2 point swing moves the ratio 0.2-0.4), so this figure should be read as directional, not precise.

Small-sample correction used throughout this report: rather than apply a raw n=3 league-specific ratio directly (which overstates precision), every player-level projection below uses a shrinkage estimator that blends the league-specific mean toward the overall forward/defenseman mean:

\text{Blended Ratio} = \frac{n_{\text{league}} \cdot \bar{r}_{\text{league}} + k \cdot \bar{r}_{\text{overall}}}{n_{\text{league}} + k}, \quad k = 5

For NAHL forwards this gives Blended Ratio = (3 x 0.92 + 5 x 0.69) / 8 = 0.776. For NAHL defensemen (n=1, Killoran 1.27) blended against the overall D mean (0.76): (1 x 1.27 + 5 x 0.76) / 6 = 0.843. These blended values -- not the raw league means -- feed Sections 6 and 8's projections.

Scope limitation, stated plainly: this dataset is Bowdoin-only; it was not expanded to other NESCAC schools (Amherst, Williams, Middlebury, Trinity, Colby, Hamilton, Wesleyan, Tufts, Conn College) in this research pass, so treat it as a pilot dataset, not a settled answer -- particularly for the n=1 leagues (SJHL, AJHL, CCHL, BCHL/mixed).

4. Incoming Freshmen -- Full Junior Histories

4.1 Jeremy Jacobs (F) -- Elite Prospects

DOB Nov 9, 2005 (age 20 during final junior season); West Chester, PA; 5'10"/185 lbs, shoots left.

Year-over-year: PTS 39 -> 61 (+56%), PPG 0.67 -> 1.03 (+54.5%), team rank 4th -> 2nd, league standing outside the top-100 -> roughly top-30 league-wide. Played 58-59 of ~60 possible games both NAHL seasons (near-full durability). No captain/assistant designation found at the NAHL level; captain of Malvern Prep's 2023-24 Flyers Cup finalist team. Power-play points and game-winning-goal totals: Not Available in any source found. NAHL Top Prospects Tournament participation: unconfirmed. Signed with Odessa (NAHL) in Dec. 2023. Malvern Prep, Hockey Happenings, QuantHockey.

4.2 Nick Jarmain (F) -- Elite Prospects

DOB May 10, 2005; Moorestown, NJ; 5'11"/190 lbs, shoots right.

Year-over-year (NAHL-to-NAHL): PTS 20 -> 63 (+215%), PPG 0.35 -> 1.07 (+206%) -- flagged as a statistical outlier; see Section 9 methodology note and Section 4's caution applies equally here (a 3x single-season point jump has essentially no precedent in the Bowdoin translation dataset). Durability: 57/59 and 59/59 GP the last two seasons. Named NAHL East Division Star of the Week (Sept. 22, 2025). Sources: NAHL commitment article, Yahoo Sports/OurSportsCentral.

4.3 Drew Berres (D) -- Elite Prospects

DOB Dec 22, 2005; Waunakee, WI; 6'1"/190 lbs, shoots left. 2022 NAHL Entry Draft (6th rd, Springfield).

Year-over-year: PTS 12 -> 30 (+150%), PPG 0.20 -> 0.52. Team captain in both 2024-25 and 2025-26 (led all Springfield defensemen in points, assists, and assists/GP in his final season). No playoff appearances recorded in any season. No league-wide defenseman rank/all-star recognition found -- flagged as unconfirmed rather than assumed. Sources: QuantHockey team page, EP.

4.4 Anthony Alessi (G) -- kept separate from skaters -- Elite Prospects

DOB Aug 18, 2007 (age 18 during final junior season -- notably young); Buffalo, NY; 5'10"/168 lbs, catches left. With the Buffalo Jr. Sabres organization since age 9.

Named OJHL First Team All-Prospect for 2024-25. Playoffs (kept separate): 2024-25 -- 7 GP, 2-4-0, .914 SV%; 2025-26 -- 4 GP, 1-3-0, .938 SV%. No draft record found in NAHL/USHL/OJHL entry drafts. Sources: OJHL commitment article, Elite Prospects. Note: the OJHL's own stats page for Alessi returned only navigation content when fetched directly -- these figures rely on Elite Prospects and the OJHL news article rather than a directly-read OJHL leaderboard, and are flagged as partially unverified against the primary league page.

5. Historical Bowdoin/NESCAC Comparables

Matched on league, position, age, and PPG from the Section 3.2 dataset. Sophomore-year Bowdoin PPG was not isolated for most historical players in this research pass and is marked Not Available rather than estimated.

5.1 Jeremy Jacobs (NAHL F, age 20, 1.03 PPG) & Nick Jarmain (NAHL F, age 20-21, 1.07 PPG)

Average of the 5 comparables: junior PPG 0.787, Bowdoin freshman PPG 0.544, average ratio 0.74; median ratio 0.76. Jacobs (1.03 PPG) and Jarmain (1.07 PPG) both enter with meaningfully higher junior production than every comparable except Alegria -- whose own translation (ratio 0.53) is the clearest caution in this set: even a dominant junior scorer regressed sharply as a NESCAC freshman. This is the empirical basis for Section 8's wide low-high projection range, not an arbitrary hedge.

5.2 Drew Berres (NAHL D, age 20, 0.52 PPG, captain)

Average of the 4 comparables (excluding the Rutledge outlier): junior PPG 0.439, Bowdoin freshman PPG 0.322, average ratio 0.88. Berres's junior PPG (0.517) sits right at the top of this comparable band, and defensemen from NAHL specifically (Killoran) have shown the best translation of any league in the dataset (1.27) -- though n=1 for that specific pairing.

5.3 Anthony Alessi (OJHL G, age 18)

No Bowdoin OJHL goalie comparable exists in the data gathered for this report -- flagged as a genuine gap, not an oversight. The two closest structural comparables are Bowdoin's own current goalies:

Osborne's trajectory (junior .918 -> freshman .914 -> sophomore .940, all in a narrow, stable band) is the more instructive precedent for a goalie carrying a strong junior SV% into NESCAC play; Fillion's steep single-season drop is the cautionary case, though on only 3 games -- too small a sample to weight heavily. See Section 7 for the full goaltender model.

6. Freshman Impact Score & Pre-College Statistical Profile

6.1 Model and weights

The requested 8-component weighting (25/20/15/10/10/10/5/5) is used as specified, with one disclosed substitution: team offensive point-share (C5, 10%) could not be computed for any player -- total team goals were not available from any source for junior teams across the dataset -- so C5 defaults to a neutral 50 for every player rather than being invented. This is a real limitation, not a modeling choice, and it compresses the score's discriminative power by exactly that 10%. Special-teams data (C7, 5%) is similarly Not Available for most of the pool and defaults to neutral except where a documented accolade (captaincy, All-League/All-Star team, league scoring title) justified a bonus.

\text{Impact Score} = 0.25C_1 + 0.20C_2 + 0.15C_3 + 0.10C_4 + 0.10C_5 + 0.10C_6 + 0.05C_7 + 0.05C_8

6.2 Forward Freshman Impact Scores (returning forwards + Jacobs + Jarmain, n=16)

Answer to the direct question: Jeremy Jacobs's final junior season ranks 2nd of 16 among Bowdoin's returning + incoming forwards' own final pre-Bowdoin junior seasons -- ahead of every returning forward except Nick Jarmain. Nick Jarmain's ranks 1st of 16. Both outrank returning CCHL scoring champion Jayson Alegria primarily on C1 (NAHL's higher league-strength index applied to already-strong point totals) and C3 (NAHL's stronger observed translation ratio) -- not on raw PPG, where Alegria (1.44) and Jackson Holl (1.79) are actually higher. This is exactly the kind of result the brief asked to be explained rather than smoothed over: it is a direct consequence of NAHL sitting well above CCHL and Prep hockey on the League Strength Index.

6.3 Defenseman Freshman Impact Scores (returning D + Berres, n=7)

Finn Burke and Matt Roy are excluded here -- their PPG could not be verified (Not Available), so they cannot be scored on this model without fabricating a number.

Answer to the direct question: Drew Berres ranks 1st of 7 on pre-college statistical profile among Bowdoin's returning and incoming defensemen -- the clearest, least-ambiguous result in this report, driven by his combination of NAHL's strength index, a two-year captaincy, and the largest single-season point growth (+150%) of any defenseman in the pool.

6.4 Head-to-head table (Part 15 format)

(Ranked by adjusted score across positions, top 8 shown; full forward and defenseman lists are in 6.2 and 6.3.)

7. Goaltender Model -- Anthony Alessi

Goalies are never compared to skaters in this report. Save percentage is weighted far more heavily than wins, per the brief. Because shots-faced data was not available for any goalie, a true Goals-Saved-Above-Average figure could not be computed; instead, each goalie's SV% is compared to an assumed league-average SV% baseline (NAHL ~.905, NCDC ~.900, OJHL ~.905, Prep ~.890) -- these baselines are estimates, not sourced league averages, and are flagged Low confidence accordingly.

\text{Goalie Score} = 0.55 \cdot \text{SV\%-vs-baseline} + 0.15 \cdot \text{Workload} + 0.15 \cdot \text{Age-adjustment} + 0.15 \cdot \text{Win\%}

Answer to the direct question: Alessi's statistical profile ranks 2nd of 4 among Bowdoin's current and incoming goalie options, just behind Fillion (whose .932 SV% comes from only 14 junior games -- a small, more volatile sample) and clearly ahead of both Dakers and, on this specific metric, Osborne, Bowdoin's established starter. Alessi's strongest asset is his age: at 18 during his final OJHL season, he is roughly two years younger than the typical final-junior-season goalie in this dataset, which is a meaningful positive signal even though it is not literally scored as heavily as SV% -- he produced a .923-.926 SV% across two full OJHL seasons while facing older competition, and was named OJHL First Team All-Prospect in 2024-25. Working against him: OJHL (Strength Index 68) sits below NAHL (80) among the leagues represented, and no Bowdoin-specific OJHL goalie precedent exists in this dataset to validate how that translates. Playing time is the largest unknown of all -- Osborne (24 GP, .940 SV%, 1.69 GAA in 2025-26) enters as the clear incumbent starter, so Alessi's realistic 2026-27 role is very likely a backup/limited-appearance one regardless of his statistical profile, and no amount of pre-college data resolves a coaching decision.

8. 2026-27 Freshman Projections & Projected Bowdoin Hierarchy

8.1 Method

Projected PPG = Final Junior PPG x Translation Ratio, using the Section 3.2 blended ratios for "Median," and the raw observed NAHL/defenseman range's min/max for "Low"/"High." GP is projected at 25 (the typical GP for a true-freshman skater in this dataset -- see Section 2.1, where full-season returning true freshmen played 21-26 games). Goal/assist splits are projected using each player's own junior-season scoring mix.

8.2 Skater projections

Confidence: Medium for the median estimates (shrinkage-blended, but still resting on an n=3 league-specific sample), Low for the High bound specifically -- the raw high end of the NAHL ratio range (1.27, from a single historical player, Killoran) implies point totals rarely seen among NESCAC freshmen and should be read as "the data doesn't rule this out," not "this is likely."

8.3 Goaltender projection -- Anthony Alessi

Playing time is fundamentally harder to project than production, since it depends on a coaching decision (Osborne is the incumbent starter), not just statistical merit.

SV% projections are anchored to the only two empirical Bowdoin junior-to-freshman SV% deltas available (Fillion -0.065, Osborne -0.004; average -0.035, n=2, Low confidence) applied to Alessi's .926 junior SV%.

8.4 Projected 2026-27 Bowdoin forward scoring hierarchy

Using returning forwards' actual 2025-26 PPG as a same-production baseline (a simplifying assumption, stated explicitly) against the Section 8.2 projections:

Expected Bowdoin forward scoring rank -- Jeremy Jacobs: range 2nd-10th, median 2nd, confidence Medium. Nick Jarmain: range 1st-9th, median 1st, confidence Medium. This is a genuinely wide range, not a hedge: it reflects the real statistical distance between the n=3 NAHL sample's low observation (Fetterolf, ratio 0.35) and its high observation (Killoran, ratio 1.27). Per the brief's own instruction not to adjust a surprising model to look more intuitive: the reason both project so high at the median is that their actual 2025-26 NAHL point totals (61 and 63 points) already exceed every returning Bowdoin forward's own final junior-season point total except Jayson Alegria's -- the model doesn't need a generous translation ratio to rank them near the top; even a below-average one still leaves them competitive.

8.5 Projected Bowdoin defenseman scoring hierarchy -- Drew Berres

Expected rank: range 1st-7th, median 3rd, confidence Medium -- using returning defensemen's actual 2025-26 PPG (Isaac Abbott 0.615 and Ricky Volpe 0.50 lead the returning group).

9. Jeremy Jacobs Deep Dive

Same methodology as every other player in this report -- no separate standard applied.

Is the year-over-year jump driven mainly by assists, and does that matter? Yes -- 21 of the 22-point increase (95%) came from assists (24 -> 45), while goal-scoring was essentially flat (15 -> 16). This points to a playmaking/role change (more ice time, a stronger line, or a shift toward a set-up role) rather than a shooting-percentage spike, which is generally a more sustainable driver of scoring growth than a shooting-percentage-driven jump would be -- though this is an inference from the shape of the data, not a directly sourced explanation.

How unusual is this résumé within Bowdoin's own recruiting history? The brief specifically asked for comparable NAHL-to-NESCAC players who entered college after ~50-60 GP, 0.90-1.15 PPG, at age 20/21. None of the 21 players in the Section 3.2 Bowdoin translation dataset matches that exact band -- the closest NAHL comparables (Wheeler 0.44 PPG, Fetterolf 0.51 PPG, Blanton 0.65 PPG) all scored meaningfully below it. This is itself a finding worth stating plainly, not smoothing over: Jacobs's 2025-26 production profile has no direct Bowdoin-specific precedent to validate against. That cuts two ways -- it is consistent with an unusually strong incoming résumé, but it also means Section 3.2's translation ratios (built from lower-scoring NAHL comparables) may not transfer cleanly to a player scoring at this level, and the projection in Section 8.2 should be read with that specific caveat in addition to its stated Medium/Low confidence bands.

10. What The Numbers Don't Tell Us, Bottom-Line Conclusions & Sources

10.1 Limitations

Small samples throughout: NAHL and NCDC are the only leagues with n=3 Bowdoin-specific translation pairs; every other league has n=0-1. No shots-faced data existed to compute true Goals-Saved-Above-Average for any goalie. No team-total-goals data existed to compute true point-share for any skater, flattening 10% of the Impact Score model to a neutral default across the board. Ice-time, power-play deployment, coaching decisions, strength of schedule, and injury risk are entirely unmodeled -- this is a statistical-résumé comparison, not a projection of playing time or role, and playing time is often the deciding factor in whether a strong junior résumé shows up in NCAA box scores at all (most acute for Alessi, whose path is blocked by an established starter). League-strength rankings rest on commitment-count and tier-ranking evidence, not a single authoritative equivalency study, because no such study appears to exist publicly. This research pass did not expand the translation dataset beyond Bowdoin to other NESCAC schools, so several league-specific ratios (SJHL, AJHL, CCHL, BCHL) rest on a single historical data point each.

10.2 Bottom-line answers

1. Which incoming forward has the strongest statistical junior résumé? Nick Jarmain, by Impact Score (85.2 vs. Jacobs's 81.8) -- driven by slightly higher PPG (1.07 vs. 1.03), the Johnstown captaincy, and a larger (if statistically unusual) year-over-year growth rate. The gap between them is narrow.

2. Where do Jacobs and Jarmain rank vs. returning forwards' pre-college résumés? 2nd and 1st of 16, respectively (Section 6.2) -- both ahead of returning CCHL scoring champion Jayson Alegria, primarily because NAHL's League Strength Index (80) sits well above CCHL's (58) and Prep hockey's (45).

3. How does Berres compare to returning defensemen? 1st of 7 (Section 6.3) -- the clearest result in the report.

4. How does Alessi compare to current/recent Bowdoin goalies? 2nd of 4 by Goalie Score (Section 7), behind only Jake Fillion's small-sample (14 GP) .932 junior SV%, and ahead of incumbent starter Jacob Osborne on this specific pre-college metric -- though Osborne's actual Bowdoin production (.940 SV% as a sophomore) means he remains the presumptive starter regardless.

5. Which current Bowdoin players had BETTER pre-college statistical profiles than the freshmen? By Impact Score, none of the returning forwards outscore Jarmain or Jacobs; the closest is Jayson Alegria (72.8, Section 6.2). Among defensemen, no returning player outscores Berres. By raw junior PPG alone (not league-adjusted), Jackson Holl (1.79), Jayson Alegria (1.44), and Daniel Menyalkin (1.22) all posted higher junior PPG than Jacobs or Jarmain -- but from weaker leagues (Prep, CCHL, 18U AAA) on this report's index.

6. Which current players had WEAKER pre-college profiles yet became productive collegians? Bryce Bollman (Impact Score 50.7, junior PPG 0.90) is now Bowdoin's active career-PPG leader among returning forwards at 0.528; J.J. Lemieux (Impact Score 38.0, the lowest-scored returning forward) has still posted a 0.35 career Bowdoin PPG. Both are evidence that a modest junior résumé does not foreclose a productive NESCAC career.

7. Reasonable freshman statistical ranges (from Section 8.2/8.3): Jacobs 0.36-1.31 PPG (median 0.80); Jarmain 0.37-1.36 PPG (median 0.83); Berres 0.20-0.66 PPG (median 0.44); Alessi 3-20+ GP with .861-.922 SV% depending on role.

8. Which incoming player's production seems most likely to translate immediately? Drew Berres, on the strength of the single highest-confidence result in this report (1st of 7 defensemen, unambiguous across every component of the model) and a two-year captaincy signaling a consistent, trusted role rather than a one-season spike.

9. Best statistical comparables for Jeremy Jacobs? None match his specific production band exactly (Section 9) -- the closest are fellow NAHL forwards Luke Wheeler, Hunter Fetterolf, Sam Blanton, and NCDC's Bryce Bollman (Section 5.1), all of whom scored at meaningfully lower PPG.

10. Knowing only age, league, junior stats, and historical translation, how do the freshmen compare to the returning roster? All three incoming skaters rank at or near the top of their position group on this report's model (Jarmain 1st, Jacobs 2nd of 16 forwards; Berres 1st of 7 defensemen), and Alessi ranks 2nd of 4 goalies -- a genuinely strong incoming class by the numbers alone, with the important caveat that two of the three skater results (Jacobs, and especially Jarmain's outlier growth rate) rest on translation ratios built from very small samples, and Alessi's ranking says nothing about whether he will actually play.

10.3 Sources

Elite Prospects — Bowdoin team page · Bowdoin Athletics roster · Jeremy Jacobs — EP · Nick Jarmain — EP · Drew Berres — EP · Anthony Alessi — EP · QuantHockey NAHL team pages · NAHL — Jarmain commitment · OJHL — Alessi commitment · NAHL.com league structure · BCHL 2025-26 college commitments · OJHL NCAA D1 alumni · USPHL/NCDC commitments · Eastern Hockey League commitments · The Junior Hockey News — 2024 league rankings · Golden Stick Hockey — USA Hockey tier explainer · NESCAC Hockey recruiting blog · Malvern Prep — Jacobs signs with Odessa · Hockey Happenings — Jacobs profile · Yahoo Sports — Jarmain named captain · AJHL — Abbott commitment